Nottingham Forest logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2024 at 6pm UK
Pinatar Arena Football Center
Sunderland

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Sunderland

Richards (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke (39' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Nottingham Forest and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, July 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSunderland
27.48% (0.137 0.14)25.03% (0.050999999999998 0.05)47.49% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 53.9% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (-0.127 -0.13)49.02% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (-0.114 -0.11)71.1% (0.113 0.11)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (0.040000000000006 0.04)32.06% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)68.53% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.131 -0.13)20.67% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.74% (-0.207 -0.21)53.26% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 27.48%
    Sunderland 47.48%
    Draw 25.03%
Nottingham ForestDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.047 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 27.48%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.48%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Sunderland

Traore (82')
McGeady (40')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Sunderland
0-1
Nott'm Forest

Cattermole (48')
Murphy (86')
Cummings (93')
Dec 28, 2004 3pm
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Sunderland
Reid (55')
Reid (29'), Thompson (58')
Robertson (80')
Stewart (90'), Elliott (49')
Lawrence (33'), Whitehead (45'), Wright (68'), McCartney (73'), Arca (77')
Sep 14, 2004 3pm
Sunderland
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Wright (11'), Arca (4')
Wright (90'), Whitley (90')

Impey (30'), Evans (44')
Mar 22, 1997 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Ball (61')
Lyttle (86')