Marseille
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 0
Pau

Greenwood (31'), Henrique (65'), Bakola (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Marseille and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Toulon
Wednesday, July 24 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Pau

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Pau
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Pau had a probability of 12.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Pau win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawPau
70.5% (0.010000000000005 0.01)17.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)9.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.91% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 70.5%
    Pau 12.08%
    Draw 17.42%
MarseilleDrawPau
2-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.22%
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.89%
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 70.5%
1-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.42%
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 12.08%

rhs 2.0


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