Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.

Result
Bordeaux	Draw	Pau
57.92% ( 0.97)	22.63% ( -0.22)	19.45% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 52% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1% (

-0.1)

46.9% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

-0.1)

69.15% (

0.09)

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

0.3)

15.91% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85% (

0.54)

45.15% (

-0.54)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.84% (

-0.86)

38.16% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.08% (

-0.84)

74.92% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Bordeaux 57.91%

Pau 19.45%

Draw 22.63%

Bordeaux	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.91%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.63%	0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.45%