Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Pau had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.