Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Pau had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Concarneau
32.52% ( -0.23)	26.46% ( -0.04)	41.02% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

0.11)

52.68% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

0.09)

74.32% (

-0.09)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

-0.1)

30.33% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

-0.12)

66.51% (

0.12)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68% (

0.19)

25.32% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.9% (

0.26)

60.09% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Pau 32.52%

Concarneau 41.01%

Draw 26.46%

Pau	Draw	Concarneau
1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.52%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.01%