Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut

Dunkerque
1 - 0
Pau

Baghdadi (79')
Bilingi (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saivet (38'), Boto (87')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions
Last Game: Dunkerque 2-2 Concarneau
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 2-3 Caen
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunkerque in this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawPau
39.13% (0.241 0.24)27.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)33.87% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.138 -0.14)54.59% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.117 -0.12)75.93% (0.117 0.12)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.070000000000007 0.07)27.22% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.091999999999999 0.09)62.64% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.241 -0.24)30.4% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (-0.287 -0.29)66.6% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 39.12%
    Pau 33.87%
    Draw 27%
DunkerqueDrawPau
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Pau
1-1
Dunkerque
Saivet (5')
Obiang (21'), Kante (49')
Baghdadi (50' pen.)
Laaziri (85'), Anziani (90+3')
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Dunkerque
1-0
Pau
Tchokounte (31')

Koffi (45+1'), Lobry (55'), Daubin (64'), Naidji (90'), Batisse (90+4')
Sep 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Pau
1-2
Dunkerque
Essende (67')
Batisse (45+3'), Koffi (53')
Batisse (72')
Brahimi (22'), Tchokounte (40')
Vachoux (33'), Rocheteau (48'), Brahimi (65')
Ba (31')
Mar 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Pau
3-1
Dunkerque
Lobry (49' pen.), Ketkeophomphone (76' og.), Batisse (83')
Ketkeophomphone (90')
Kerrouche (31')
Nov 28, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 12
Dunkerque
2-2
Pau
Tchokounte (7'), Diarra (31')
Armand (24'), Bayard (90')
Scaramozzino (87'), Armand (90+5')