Ligue 2 | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade du Hainaut

Valenciennes
1 - 4
Pau

Foe Ondoa (80')
Linguet (32')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Boutaib (7'), Ruiz (45+2'), Sylla (64'), Begraoui (82')
Saivet (34'), Mohamed (43')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valenciennes

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Annecy 2-1 Valenciennes
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 1-1 Ajaccio
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawPau
32.3% (-0.113 -0.11)27.92% (0.023 0.02)39.78% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.113 -0.11)58.35% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)78.96% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)33.37% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-0.149 -0.15)70% (0.143 0.14)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.64% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)64.46%
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 32.3%
    Pau 39.78%
    Draw 27.92%
ValenciennesDrawPau
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 11.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.78%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Pau
3-1
Valenciennes
Sylla (45+3' pen., 90'), Bassouamina (72')
Venema (48')
May 13, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 35
Valenciennes
1-1
Pau
Grbic (66')
Masson (55'), Grbic (68')
George (79')
D'Almeida (20'), Bassouamina (74'), Kouassi (76')
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Pau
1-0
Valenciennes
Bassouamina (72')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Valenciennes
1-0
Pau
Ayite (66')
Bonnet (71'), Masson (71'), Linguet (75')

Dembele (28')
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Pau
1-1
Valenciennes
Assifuah (14')
Van Boto (40'), Armand (59'), Assifuah (65'), Beusnard (79')
Yatabare (24')
Doukoure (51'), Cuffaut (68')
rhs 2.0


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