Ligue 2 | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
AC Ajaccio

Pau
1 - 1
Ajaccio

Ahoussou (23')
Boli (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mangani (6')
Strata (54'), Sakhi (69')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Amiens 2-3 Pau
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Auxerre
Monday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
PauDrawAjaccio
40.78% (0.132 0.13)27.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.35% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 47.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)58.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.069000000000003 0.07)28.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (0.090000000000003 0.09)63.75% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)34.06% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (-0.103 -0.1)70.74% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Pau 40.78%
    Ajaccio 31.35%
    Draw 27.86%
PauDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.35%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Ajaccio
2-0
Pau
Touzghar (52'), Mangani (63')

Kouassi (68'), Chahiri (75')
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 32
Ajaccio
2-1
Pau
Krasso (59', 69')
Krasso (63')
Gomis (90+3')
Essende (30'), Armand (69')
Oct 30, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 14
Pau
1-0
Ajaccio
Lobry (55')
Sylvestre (44'), Kouassi (52')

El Idrissy (39'), Coutadeur (74'), Courtet (75'), Gonzalez (81')
May 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Pau
0-0
Ajaccio
Diarra (80')
Marchetti (80')
Jan 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Ajaccio
4-1
Pau
Moussiti-Oko (12'), Nouri (30' pen.), El Idrissy (50'), Ismael (61')
Sabaly (32')
Bury (59'), Batisse (82')