Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Bordeaux	Draw	Bastia
53.93% ( -0.76)	24.54% ( 0.27)	21.53% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 49.28% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

-0.54)

52.11% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

-0.47)

73.83% (

0.47)

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.5)

19.26% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-0.83)

50.98% (

0.83)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.03% (

0.19)

38.97% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.3% (

0.18)

75.7% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Bordeaux 53.92%

Bastia 21.53%

Draw 24.54%

Bordeaux	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.92%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.53%