Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.