Ligue 2 | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
1 - 1
Dunkerque

Bianchini (9')
Vincent (51'), Keita (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (80')
Bardeli (45+4')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Dunkerque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Laval 1-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Dunkerque

All competitions
Last Game: Dunkerque 0-2 Annecy
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawDunkerque
32.9% (-0.57 -0.57)27.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)39.46% (0.553 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.54% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (-0.153 -0.15)57.16% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.122 -0.12)78.03% (0.11999999999999 0.12)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.464 -0.46)32.34% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (-0.527 -0.53)68.85% (0.52499999999999 0.52)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.244 0.24)28.25% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.307 0.31)63.97% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 32.89%
    Dunkerque 39.46%
    Draw 27.63%
BastiaDrawDunkerque
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.89%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.46%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Dunkerque
0-5
Bastia

Bilingi (35'), Laaziri (59'), Sangante (76')
Okou (2'), Alfarela (13', 68', 90+2'), Tomi (89' pen.)
Brouard (36'), Bohnert (45+2')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Bastia
1-0
Dunkerque
Talal (21')
Guidi (14'), Palun (58'), Roncaglia (90+2'), Santelli (90+3')

Ba (2')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Dunkerque
2-0
Bastia
Tchokounte (58', 86')
Tchokounte (33')

Quemper (21')