Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Bastia
46.16% ( -0.01)	25.81% ( -0.02)	28.02% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08% (

0.1)

51.92% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33% (

0.09)

73.66% (

-0.09)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

0.04)

22.46% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99% (

0.06)

56.01% (

-0.05)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84% (

0.08)

33.16% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.23% (

0.09)

69.77% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Pau 46.16%

Bastia 28.02%

Draw 25.81%

Pau	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.02%