Guingamp
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade du Roudourou

Guingamp
0 - 1
Bastia


Maronnier (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Drame (26')
Ducrocq (44')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions
Last Game: Dunkerque 0-1 Guingamp
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Bastia
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
GuingampDrawBastia
51.67% (0.1 0.1)26.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)21.87% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 44.38% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)58.78% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)79.29% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.019999999999996 0.02)22.89% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)56.64% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.56% (-0.129 -0.13)42.44% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (-0.112 -0.11)78.82% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 51.67%
    Bastia 21.87%
    Draw 26.45%
GuingampDrawBastia
1-0 @ 14.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.87%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Bastia
0-0
Guingamp
Yapi (37')
Lemonnier (45'), Louiserre (78'), Sivis (90+3')
Lemonnier (90+3')
Feb 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Bastia
1-1
Guingamp
Kaiboue (32')
Courtet (80')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Guingamp
1-1
Bastia
Kaiboue (86' og.)
Talal (78')
Apr 16, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Bastia
1-2
Guingamp
Talal (57')
Sainati (44'), Guidi (53')
Pierrot (62', 74')
Ba (51')
Nov 6, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 15
Guingamp
2-3
Bastia
M'Changama (53'), Guidi (90+3' og.)
Abi (90+4')
Santelli (28'), Salles-Lamonge (60'), Saadi (63')
Santelli (33'), Le Cardinal (45+3'), Robic (90+4')