Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Amiens
36.59% ( -0.73)	29.02% ( 0.36)	34.39% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 44.78% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.08% (

-1.2)

61.92% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

-0.9)

81.68% (

0.89)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

-1.07)

32.36% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.13% (

-1.23)

68.86% (

1.23)

Amiens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.2% (

-0.38)

33.8% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.54% (

-0.41)

70.46% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Bastia 36.59%

Amiens 34.39%

Draw 29.01%

Bastia	Draw	Amiens
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.59%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.01%	0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.39%