Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annecy would win this match.