UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 1
Panathinaikos

(Panathinaikos win 3-2 on aggregate)

Frankowski (4'), Said (34')
Medina (13'), Danso (82'), Frankowski (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ioannidis (53')
Tete (44'), Gnezda Cerin (71'), Vagiannidis (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lens and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 0-1 Lens
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Asteras
Sunday, August 18 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Panathinaikos
49.31% ( -0.12)	23.53% ( -0.05)	27.15% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 58.61% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.31% (

0.36)

42.68% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.91% (

0.35)

65.08% (

-0.36)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

0.09)

17.45% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08% (

0.16)

47.92% (

-0.16)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71% (

0.3)

28.99% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

0.38)

64.89% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Lens 49.31%

Panathinaikos 27.15%

Draw 23.53%

Lens	Draw	Panathinaikos
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 27.15%