Conference League
Aug 22, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 4' goal
  • Facundo Medina 13' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 20' redcard
  • Wesley Said 34' goal
  • Kevin Danso 82' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tete 44'
  • goal Fotis Ioannidis 53'
  • yellowcard Adam Gnezda Cerin 71'
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 84'

Lens vs Panathinaikos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result

Lens 49.31% (-0.12)
Draw 23.53% (-0.06)
Panathinaikos 27.15% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.61% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.31% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 42.68% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 34.91% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 65.08% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 18.2% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 81.79% (-0.27)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 82.54% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 17.45% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 52.08% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 47.92% (-0.17)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5 71% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 28.99% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 35.11% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 64.89% (-0.39)

Score analysis

Lens 49.31%
Draw 23.53%
Panathinaikos 27.15%
Lens
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.44% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.42% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 49.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.53%
Panathinaikos
1-2 @ 6.77% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.44% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 27.15%