Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 33.52% ( | 27.09% ( | 39.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% ( | 54.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( | 76.26% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( | 67.1% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( | 62.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.39% |