Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
1 - 0
St Etienne

Minamino (29')
Embolo (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nzuzi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Barcelona 0-3 Monaco
Monday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 St Etienne
Wednesday, August 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Saint-Etienne
45.92% ( -0.25)	23.52% ( 0.25)	30.56% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.12% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.54% (

-1.18)

40.46% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.16% (

-1.23)

62.83% (

1.23)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09% (

-0.56)

17.91% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.29% (

-0.97)

48.71% (

0.98)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

-0.58)

25.55% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

-0.8)

60.41% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Monaco 45.92%

Saint-Etienne 30.56%

Draw 23.51%

Monaco	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.76% Total : 45.92%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.56%