Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.