Champions League
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Jerdy Schouten 15' goal
  • Mauro Junior 22' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 64' yellowcard
  • Noa Lang 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Geovany Tcherno Quenda 53'
  • goal Daniel Braganca 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 86'

PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 17, 2024 5.45pm
Juventus 3 - 1 PSV

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 17, 2024 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 39.87% (-0.45)
Draw 24.98% (+0.10)
Sporting Lisbon 35.14% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.63% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.26% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 45.74% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 31.94% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 68.06% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 16.04% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 83.96% (+0.28)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 77.19% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 22.81% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 43.48% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 56.52% (+0.59)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 74.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.34% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.88% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.12% (-0.02)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 39.87%
Draw 24.97%
Sporting Lisbon 35.15%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.54% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.78% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 8.05% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.93% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 5.45% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.68% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 35.15%

Head to Head

Europa League Gameweek 5
Nov 28, 2019 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
  • Luiz Phellype 9' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 16' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 22' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bolasie 34' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Mathieu 43' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 64' goal
  • Tiago Ilori 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Rosario 32'
Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2019 5.55pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Pablo Rosario 12' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 19' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 25' goal
  • Timo Baumgartl 48' goal
  • yellowcard Idrissa Doumbia 30'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 38'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 44'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 53'
  • goal Pedro Mendes 82'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 85'
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 94'