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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 11.6% ( | 15.78% ( | 72.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.04% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.66% ( | 52.34% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% ( | 75.09% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.59% ( | 7.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.31% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.4% ( 1-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 2-0 @ 1.31% ( 3-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.61% | 1-1 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.78% | 0-2 @ 9.62% ( 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0-3 @ 8.34% ( 1-3 @ 8% ( 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0-4 @ 5.43% ( 1-4 @ 5.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0-5 @ 2.83% ( 1-5 @ 2.71% ( 2-4 @ 2.5% ( 2-5 @ 1.3% ( 0-6 @ 1.23% ( 1-6 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.83% Total : 72.61% |