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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Willem II

Utrecht
3 - 2
Willem II

Behounek (11' og.), Ohio (37' pen.), Thor Sigurgeirsson (53' og.)
Elkarouani (45+2'), Aaronson (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sandra (29', 43')
Bosch (45+2'), Meerveld (87'), Abdirahman Ahmed (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Willem II

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawWillem II
58.23% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)21.76% (0.159 0.16)20% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 55.81% (-0.545 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (-0.723 -0.72)42.3% (0.721 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (-0.728 -0.73)64.7% (0.725 0.73)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.28699999999999 -0.29)14.24% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (-0.562 -0.56)42% (0.56 0.56)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)34.92% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (-0.442 -0.44)71.66% (0.43900000000001 0.44)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 58.23%
    Willem II 20%
    Draw 21.75%
FC UtrechtDrawWillem II
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 58.23%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Willem II

FC Utrecht
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Willem II
0.0%
24
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
Willem II
3-0
Utrecht
Hornkamp (8'), Saddiki (53'), Van Overeem (73' og.)
Llonch (49')

Gustafson (56')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Utrecht
5-1
Willem II
Ramselaar (10', 25', 67'), Mallahi (83'), Van Overeem (90+1')
Maher (38'), van der Maarel (79')
Okyere Wriedt (35')
Owusu (6'), Saddiki (72'), Svensson (78')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Utrecht
3-2
Willem II
Van de Streek (4'), Van Beek (45+4' og.), Kerk (68')
Maher (33'), Gustafson (90+2')
Holmen (57'), Okyere Wriedt (82')
Holmen (34'), Okyere Wriedt (37')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Willem II
0-6
Utrecht

Selahi (77')
Ter Avest (3'), Van de Streek (11', 19'), Ramselaar (47'), Kerk (69'), Van der Maarel (86')
> Preview
Feb 16, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
Willem II
1-1
Utrecht
Gladon (90')
Nieuwkoop (78')
Bahebeck (4')
van Overeem (90')