Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.