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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PEC Zwolle

Utrecht
1 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Romeny (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reijnders (43'), Fichtinger (87'), Krastev (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Venezia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Venezia
Sunday, August 4 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
70.72% (-0.42 -0.42)16.67% (0.211 0.21)12.61% (0.205 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.94% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)32.67% (0.518 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.65% (-0.605 -0.6)54.35% (0.602 0.6)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.78% (-0.22 -0.22)8.21% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.26% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)28.74% (0.543 0.54)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)37.96% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)74.73% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 70.72%
    PEC Zwolle 12.61%
    Draw 16.67%
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.133 0.13)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 70.72%
1-1 @ 7.55% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.67%
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.055 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.02% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.61%

How you voted: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

FC Utrecht
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
PEC Zwolle
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
5-1
PEC Zwolle
Lammers (47'), Toornstra (49'), Lidberg (77', 79'), Blake (87')
Thy (60')
van den Berg (32')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Utrecht
Druijf (69' pen.)
Lam (39'), van den Berg (76')

Azarkan (34'), Seuntjens (48'), Viergever (84')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Utrecht
Redan (74')
Ter Avest (29')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
5-1
PEC Zwolle
Douvikas (11' pen.), Sylla (59'), Ramselaar (65' pen.), Mahi (66'), Janssen (86')
Saymak (75')
Strieder (64')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 20
Utrecht
3-3
PEC Zwolle
Van de Streek (2'), Maher (53' pen.), Ter Avest (90+6')
Boussaid (73'), Balk (90+3')
Misidjan (4'), Lam (39' pen.), Buitink (67')
van Polen (90+3')
> Preview