Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.