Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.