Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

Apr 28, 2024 at 11.15am UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
Heracles

Thy (16'), van der Water (69'), Krastev (90+3')
Namli (49'), Krastev (75'), Lam (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vejinovic (45+2')
De Keersmaecker (53'), Hrustic (89'), Bruns (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heracles
59.62% ( 1.51)	20.38% ( 0.02)	20% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 60.71% (

-2.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.14% (

-2.31)

35.86% (

2.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.06% (

-2.59)

57.94% (

2.59)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.22% (

-0.31)

11.78% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.03% (

-0.66)

36.97% (

0.66)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81% (

-2.73)

31.19% (

2.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47% (

-3.3)

67.53% (

3.29)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 59.62%

Heracles 20%

Draw 20.38%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.75) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.62%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.38%	1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.64% Total : 20%