Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Vaesen (8' pen.), Meerveld (30'), van Eijma (52' og.)
Behounek (55'), Kehrer (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

van Gelderen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 AZ
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
55.43% ( 2.36)	21.58% ( -0.26)	23% ( -2.1)

Both teams to score 60.98% (

-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.46% (

-1.04)

37.54% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.23% (

-1.13)

59.77% (

1.13)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.47% (

0.38)

13.53% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.41% (

0.76)

40.59% (

-0.76)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

-2.23)

29.48% (

2.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

-2.81)

65.48% (

2.81)

Score Analysis

Willem II 55.43%

RKC Waalwijk 23%

Draw 21.58%

Willem II	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.43%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.14% Total : 23%