Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.78%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 21.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%).