Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Valenciennes	Draw	Helmond Sport
45.42% ( -0.03)	27.08% ( -0)	27.5% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.74% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.96% (

0.02)

57.04% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.07% (

0.02)

77.93% (

-0.02)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0)

25.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.01)

59.72% (

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

0.03)

36.31% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

0.04)

73.1% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Valenciennes 45.42%

Helmond Sport 27.5%

Draw 27.08%

Valenciennes	Draw	Helmond Sport
1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.42%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.5%