Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.