Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.