Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.