Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
35.36% ( 0.6)	24.21% ( 0.11)	40.43% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 60.47% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.93% (

-0.41)

42.07% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.52% (

-0.42)

64.48% (

0.42)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

0.14)

23.51% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

0.2)

57.55% (

-0.2)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

-0.5)

20.94% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

-0.79)

53.68% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Almere City 35.36%

RKC Waalwijk 40.43%

Draw 24.2%

Almere City	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.36%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.43%