Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 4
Nijmegen

van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	NEC
30.09% ( 1.47)	24.36% ( 0.58)	45.55% ( -2.05)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42% (

-1.8)

44.58% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.05% (

-1.76)

66.95% (

1.77)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

0.1)

27.91% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

0.12)

63.53% (

-0.12)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-1.55)

19.71% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29% (

-2.59)

51.71% (

2.59)

Score Analysis

Almere City 30.09%

NEC 45.55%

Draw 24.36%

Almere City	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.09%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.55%