Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
2 - 3
Sparta

Cathline (5'), Robinet (87')
Floranus (40'), Resink (58'), Koopmeiners (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lauritsen (19'), van der Kust (28'), Verschueren (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Almere City
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
29.19% ( 0.16)	24.95% ( 0.03)	45.85% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 55.36% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

-0.04)

47.65% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

-0.03)

69.85% (

0.03)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

0.1)

30.08% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

0.12)

66.21% (

-0.12)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

-0.1)

20.83% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-0.16)

53.5% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Almere City 29.19%

Sparta Rotterdam 45.85%

Draw 24.94%

Almere City	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.19%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.85%