Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.