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Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
3 - 0
Almere City

Bergwijn (29', 34', 38')
Mannsverk (26'), Kaplan (45+3'), Hato (62')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Akujobi (10'), van Bruggen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Volendam 1-4 Ajax
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Heerenveen
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 11.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawAlmere City
73.47% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)11.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)48.66% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.46%6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.38%
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (0.020000000000003 0.02)36.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (0.02 0.02)73.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 73.47%
    Almere City 11.42%
    Draw 15.11%
AjaxDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.13%
3-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 5.55%
4-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-1 @ 3.02%
5-0 @ 3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.36%
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 73.47%
1-1 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.11%
1-2 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 11.42%

How you voted: Ajax vs Almere City

Ajax
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Almere City
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Almere City
2-2
Ajax
Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')