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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 73.76%. A draw has a probability of 15% and a win for Almere City has a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.58%), while for an Almere City win it is 1-2 (3.26%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
73.76% ( 0.26) | 15.05% ( -0.07) | 11.2% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 58.78% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.7% ( -0.22) | 28.3% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.88% ( -0.27) | 49.12% ( 0.26) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% ( -0) | 6.57% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.54% ( -0) | 24.46% ( 0) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.91% ( -0.46) | 37.08% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.12% ( -0.46) | 73.87% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.37% 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.72% Total : 73.76% | 1-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 15.05% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 11.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |