Eredivisie Gameweek 33
Ajax
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Almere City
  • Sivert Mannsverk 26' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 29' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 34' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 38' goal
  • Ahmetcan Kaplan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jorrel Hato 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hamdi Akujobi 10'
  • yellowcard Damian van Bruggen 52'

Ajax vs Almere City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2024 1.30pm
Volendam 1 - 4 Ajax
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Almere City

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
Almere City 1 - 1 Heerenveen
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Thomas Robinet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 11.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 73.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 15.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Almere City 11.42% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 27.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 51.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 48.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 31.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 68.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 93.46%
Under 0.5 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 75.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.38%

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5 63.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 36.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 73.47%
Draw 15.11%
Almere City 11.42%
Ajax
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.13%
3-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.55%
4-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.02%
5-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 73.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.11%
Almere City
1-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 11.42%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Almere City
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadion
Ajax
  • Joey Jacobs 7' yellowcard
  • Damian van Bruggen 15' yellowcard
  • Thomas Robinet 15' yellowcard
  • Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp 67' goal
  • Stije Resink 75' yellowcard
  • Thomas Robinet 90'+3' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 15'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 68'
  • goal Benjamin Tahirovic 82'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 90'+1'
Club Friendlies 1
Almere City
Jul 31, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yanmar Stadion
Ajax
  • Joey Jacobs 47' goal
  • goal Brian Brobbey 35'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 78'

Form Data

Volendam 1 - 4 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior
Ajax 2 - 1 FC Twente
Feyenoord 6 - 0 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle 1 - 3 Ajax
Almere City 1 - 1 Heerenveen
FC Twente 3 - 1 Almere City
Almere City 2 - 3 Sparta
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 Almere City
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 0 Almere City
Almere City 1 - 1 Volendam