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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 28% ( | 23.66% ( | 48.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.37% ( | 42.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.96% ( | 65.04% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( | 28.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( | 64.09% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( | 17.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.47% ( | 48.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 48.34% |