AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
FC Volendam
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Kras Stadion
Ajax

Volendam
1 - 4
Ajax

Benamar (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (25', 77'), Akpom (59'), Brobbey (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Volendam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-3 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC VolendamDrawAjax
10.69% (-0.233 -0.23)13.26% (0.343 0.34)76.05% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Both teams to score 65.44% (-2.817 -2.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.83% (-2.553 -2.55)20.17% (2.552 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.66% (-3.719 -3.72)38.33% (3.719 3.72)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-2.555 -2.55)31.51% (2.555 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-3.059 -3.06)67.9% (3.059 3.06)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.54% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)4.46% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.68% (-1.683 -1.68)18.32% (1.682 1.68)
Score Analysis
    FC Volendam 10.69%
    Ajax 76.05%
    Draw 13.26%
FC VolendamDrawAjax
2-1 @ 2.91% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-0 @ 1.62% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 0.94% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 10.69%
1-1 @ 5.05% (0.484 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 1.4% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 13.26%
1-3 @ 8.14% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.464 0.46)
0-3 @ 7.05% (0.616 0.62)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.837 0.84)
1-4 @ 6.33% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 5.48% (0.275 0.28)
2-3 @ 4.7% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.688 0.69)
1-5 @ 3.94% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-4 @ 3.65% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-5 @ 3.41% (0.039 0.04)
2-5 @ 2.27% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-6 @ 2.04% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-6 @ 1.77% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.41% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-6 @ 1.18% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-7 @ 0.91% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 76.05%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Ajax
2-0
Volendam
Bergwijn (57'), Akpom (89')

Twigt (85')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
1-1
Volendam
Kudus (80')
Mirani (59')
> Preview
Dec 7, 2022 11am
Club Friendlies
Ajax
5-4
Volendam
Hato (56'), Conceicao (58', 69'), Brobbey (65', 89')
Oristanio (7'), Antonioli (46', 74'), Plat (48')
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Volendam
2-4
Ajax
Zeefuik (74'), Eiting (86')
Tadic (17' pen.), Bassey (39'), Brobbey (64'), Klaassen (90+5')
> Preview