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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
| 27.08% ( | 24.13% ( | 48.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( | 45.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( | 67.76% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( | 30.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( | 66.7% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( | 18.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.93% ( | 50.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.08% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 48.79% |