Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Telstar win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.