Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.