Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.