Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 25
Feb 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
BUKO Stadion

Telstar
3 - 2
Helmond

El Kachati (16', 36'), Giousis (44')
Oude Kotte (50'), Koeman Jr (64'), Koswal (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kaars (28'), Marin (82')
Schmidt (27'), Botos (32'), Marin (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-1 Telstar
Saturday, December 20 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 2-2 Willem II
Sunday, December 21 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawHelmond Sport
49.53% (0.047000000000004 0.05)25.24% (-0.026 -0.03)25.23% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.48% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (0.071999999999999 0.07)73.29% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.052999999999997 0.05)20.8% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (0.082999999999998 0.08)53.46% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.025999999999996 0.03)35.2% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.95% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 49.53%
    Helmond Sport 25.23%
    Draw 25.24%
TelstarDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.03%
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.23%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 7pm
gameweek 13
Helmond
1-0
Telstar
Kaars (29')
Mar 17, 2023 7pm
gameweek 29
Helmond
2-2
Telstar
Kaars (51'), Lieftink (90+3')
Giousis (13'), Min (46')
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
gameweek 4
Telstar
2-1
Helmond
Blommestijn (45+2'), Plet (71' pen.)
Aktas (41')
Van Hove (14')
Beugelsdijk (11'), Lorentzen (42'), van der Meer (87')
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
gameweek 26
Helmond
2-2
Telstar
Van Keilegom (42'), Goselink (69')
Smit (17'), Van Doorm (62')
Akoy (45+3')
Tugarinov (32')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
gameweek 12
Telstar
2-2
Helmond
Bensabouh (31'), Dijkstra (33')
Zakir (48')
Van Landschoot (37'), Goselink (71')
De Bie (25'), Vereijken (29')
rhs 2.0


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