Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.