Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.