Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.