Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 19

Dec 15, 2023 at 7pm UK

Sportcomplex De Herdgang

Jong PSV
2 - 2
Jong Ajax

Babadi (21' pen.), Nassoh (67')
El Meliani (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Janse (81'), Chourak (83')
Aertssen (72'), Chourak (78'), Janse (90')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong PSV

All competitions

Last Game: Roda JC 2-1 Jong PSV
Friday, December 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 2-1 Jong Utrecht
Monday, December 11 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.32%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Jong Ajax
37.32% ( 0.74)	22.19% ( 0)	40.49% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 68.52% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.28% (

0.1)

31.71% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.77% (

0.12)

53.23% (

-0.11)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

0.37)

17.88% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.33% (

0.64)

48.67% (

-0.63)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

-0.25)

16.55% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68% (

-0.45)

46.32% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 37.32%

Jong Ajax 40.49%

Draw 22.19%

Jong PSV	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.32%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 40.49%