Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.