Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong Ajax in this match.