Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.