Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5%) and 1-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.